Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw has a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.96%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (11.74%), while for a Sarmiento win it is 1-0 (7.7%).