Apr 27, 2025 7.30pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Franco Mastantuono 25'
Sebastian Driussi 44'
Marcos Acuna 45'
Miguel Borja 45'
Maximiliano Meza 56'
Lucas Martinez 74'
Franco Mastantuono 90'+2'
Kevin Castano 90'+4'

Tomas Belmonte 12'
Ayrton Costa 19'
Marcos Rojo 23'
Miguel Merentiel 38'
Luis Advincula 62'
Rodrigo Battaglia 85'

River Plate vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

D
W
D
D
D
W

Argentine Primera Division

W
D
D
D
D
W

Last game

Apr 18, 2025 9.00pm

Gimnasia 0 - 3 River Plate

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Miguel Borja

Boca Juniors

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
W

Argentine Primera Division

W
W
W
L
W
W

Last game

Apr 20, 2025 12.30am

Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Estudiantes

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Miguel Merentiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 60.09% ▲ (+0.16)

Draw 23.11% ▼ (-0.08)

Boca Juniors 16.81% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score:

45.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.32% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 2.5 52.68% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 3.5 25.68% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 3.5 74.32% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 4.5 11.79% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 4.5 88.21% ▼ (-0.10)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 0.5 17.19% ▼ (-0.12)

Over 1.5 52.54% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 1.5 47.46% ▼ (-0.21)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 55.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 44.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 19.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 80.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

River Plate 60.08%

Draw 23.1%

Boca Juniors 16.81%

River Plate

1-0 @ 13.52% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 11.9% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.03)

4-0 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.03)

4-1 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)

5-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.54%

Total : 60.08%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.06)

2-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.67%

Total : 23.1%

Boca Juniors

0-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)

1-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 1.52%

Total : 16.81%

Head to Head

Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Miguel Merentiel 41'
Marcos Rojo 52'
Cristian Lema 89'
Cristian Lema 90'+12'
Milton Gimenez 90'+12'

Federico Gattoni 1'
Manuel Lanzini 20'
Santiago Simon 44'
Facundo Colidio 45'+4'
Nicolas Fonseca 50'
Fabricio Bustos 79'
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 81'

Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Miguel Borja 10'
Claudio Echeverri 40'
Ignacio Fernandez 45'+1'
Miguel Borja 48'
Facundo Colidio 73'
Rodrigo Villagra 79'
Pablo Solari 90'+3'
Paulo Diaz 90'+7'

Miguel Merentiel 44'
Miguel Merentiel 45'+1'
Marcos Rojo 48'
Edinson Cavani 62'
Miguel Merentiel 67'
Edinson Cavani 70'
Lautaro Blanco 76'
Nicolas Figal 90'+6'

Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Ignacio Fernandez 20'
Pablo Solari 49'
Marcelo Herrera 52'

Nicolas Figal 8'
Cristian Medina 43'
Lautaro Blanco 45'+1'
Cristian Medina 70'

Oct 1, 2023 6.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Jorman Campuzano 29'
Nicolas Valentini 30'
Marcelo Saracchi 65'
Exequiel Zeballos 87'
Bruno Valdez 89'

Salomon Rondon 41'
Ignacio Fernandez 54'
Enzo Diaz 81'
Franco Armani 86'
Enzo Diaz 90'+6'

May 7, 2023 9.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Miguel Borja 90'+3'

Sep 11, 2022 9.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Dario Benedetto 65'

Form Data

Independiente 2 - 2 River Plate

Gimnasia 0 - 3 River Plate

River Plate 1 - 1 Talleres

River Plate 0 - 0 Barcelona

Sarmiento 1 - 1 River Plate

Universitario 0 - 1 River Plate

Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Estudiantes

Belgrano 1 - 3 Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Barracas Central

Newell's OB 2 - 0 Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors 4 - 0 Defensa

C. Cordoba 0 - 3 Boca Juniors