Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 30, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
2 - 0
Boca Juniors

Herrera (5'), Lollo (45+3')
Martino (52'), Montero (78'), Banega (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Di Lollo (24')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, March 15 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-0 Defensa
Sunday, March 16 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawBoca Juniors
36.09% (0.649 0.65)30.45% (0.374 0.37)33.46% (-1.022 -1.02)
Both teams to score 40.9% (-1.023 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.46% (-1.18 -1.18)66.54% (1.183 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.05% (-0.811 -0.81)84.95% (0.81299999999999 0.81)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.205 -0.2)35.13% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.218 -0.22)71.88% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-1.371 -1.37)36.95% (1.373 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-1.392 -1.39)73.74% (1.394 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 36.09%
    Boca Juniors 33.45%
    Draw 30.45%
Newell's Old BoysDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.98% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.45%
0-1 @ 12.92% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 33.45%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2024 12am
Gameweek 26
Newell's OB
0-1
Boca Juniors

Miljevic (19'), Gonzalez (61'), Perez (78'), Velazquez (83'), Banega (90+2')
Zenon (55')
Miramon (10'), Fernandez (74'), Zeballos (90')
Apr 6, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 13
Newell's OB
1-3
Boca Juniors
Fernandez (89')
Glavinovich (61'), Aguirre (90+6')
Medina (28'), Langoni (55'), Zenon (90')
Fernandez (39'), Fernandez (43'), Brey (84'), Lema (89'), Briasco (90+4')
Nov 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Boca Juniors
1-0
Newell's OB
Merentiel (90' pen.)
Anselmino (4'), Fernandez (10')

Vangioni (25'), Glavinovich (51'), Sforza (65'), Balzi (88'), Velazquez (90+2'), Gomez (90+4')
Jul 25, 2023 12.45am
Gameweek 26
Boca Juniors
2-1
Newell's OB
Hoyos (21' og.), Medina (46')
Valentini (55'), Merentiel (58'), Fernandez (62'), Valdez (73'), Medina (84')
Eduardo Recalde (90+2')
Mosquera (70'), Eduardo Recalde (85')
Oct 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Newell's OB
2-0
Boca Juniors
Manuel Garcia (47'), Ditta (81')