Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.