Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Estudiantes

Cavani (40' pen.), Palacios (48', 48'), Merentiel (63', 63')
Advincula (20'), Advincula (20'), Palacios (42'), Palacios (42'), Blanco (51'), Blanco (51'), Marchesin (90+4'), Miramon (90+4'), Marchesin (90+4'), Miramon (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arzamendia (27'), Arzamendia (27'), Mansilla (52'), Mansilla (52'), Ascacibar (81'), Ascacibar (81')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Belgrano 1-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Estudiantes

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, April 13 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Estudiantes
50.64% ( -0.28)	27.53% ( 0.12)	21.82% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 41.65% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.71% (

-0.27)

62.29% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.05% (

-0.2)

81.95% (

0.19)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.25)

24.89% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-0.34)

59.51% (

0.34)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.46% (

-0)

44.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.43% (

80.56% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 50.64%

Estudiantes 21.82%

Draw 27.53%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 50.64%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.82%