Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.