Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.