Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Rafael Calles Pinto
Estudiantes

Carabobo
0 - 2
Estudiantes


Nunez (12'), Gonzalez (60'), Pernia (89'), Congo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nunez (45'), Ascacibar (73' pen.)
Carrillo (28'), Medina (60'), Cetre (89'), Manyoma (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Carabobo and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

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Last Game: Carabobo 1-1 Metropolitanos (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Estudiantes

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Estudiantes
Thursday, March 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.73%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 29.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.4%), while for a Carabobo win it was 1-0 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
CaraboboDrawEstudiantes
29.98% (-0.965 -0.97)31.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)38.73% (0.891 0.89)
Both teams to score 38.24% (-0.421 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.64% (-0.371 -0.37)69.36% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.18% (-0.239 -0.24)86.82% (0.24199999999999 0.24)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78% (-0.984 -0.98)41.22% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25% (-0.884 -0.88)77.75% (0.887 0.89)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.369 0.37)34.95% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.385 0.39)71.69% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Carabobo 29.97%
    Estudiantes 38.72%
    Draw 31.29%
CaraboboDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 29.97%
0-0 @ 14.4% (0.2 0.2)
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.29%
0-1 @ 15.14% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.265 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.72%

rhs 2.0


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