Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.73%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 29.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.4%), while for a Carabobo win it was 1-0 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.