Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Apr 29, 2025 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Gimnasia

Romero (76', 76')
Gordon (69'), Gordon (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (23'), Castro (23'), Castillo (33'), Castillo (33'), Silva Torrejon (34'), Silva Torrejon (34'), Suso (57'), Suso (57'), de Blasis (64'), de Blasis (64')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-3 River Plate
Friday, April 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia
52.68% (0.996 1)27.7% (-0.376 -0.38)19.62% (-0.619 -0.62)
Both teams to score 38.75% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.4% (0.559 0.56)64.6% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.39% (0.392 0.39)83.61% (-0.39 -0.39)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.72199999999999 0.72)25% (-0.72 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (0.99 0.99)59.65% (-0.989 -0.99)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.67% (-0.368 -0.37)48.33% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.53% (-0.27 -0.27)83.47% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 52.67%
    Gimnasia 19.62%
    Draw 27.69%
Velez SarsfieldDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 16.74%
2-0 @ 11.61% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 12.08% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.62%

Head to Head
May 13, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 1
Gimnasia
3-1
Velez Sarsfield
Castillo (39'), Abaldo (51'), Colazo (68')
Castro (42'), Morales (58'), Colazo (64')
Pellegrini (82')
Mammana (33'), Gomez (58'), Pellegrini (83')
Feb 10, 2024 12.15am
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Gimnasia
Gomez (41'), Aquino (90+6' pen.), Pizzini (90+8')
Romero (48'), Mendez (83'), Pizzini (90+9')
Cabral (53')
Canto (51'), Morales (75'), Rodriguez (82'), Cabral (90')
Canto (90+4')
Sep 13, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 4
Gimnasia
2-1
Velez Sarsfield
Tarragona (52'), Abaldo (60')
Saravia (22'), Enrique (28'), Cabral (33'), Gallo (46'), Castro (90+2')
Romero (41')
Castro (18'), Gomez (25'), Aquino (33'), Guidara (70')
Jan 30, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 1
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Gimnasia
Janson (26'), Bou (54', 57')
Enrique (67')
Aug 14, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Gimnasia
Osorio (72')
Caseres (32'), Garayalde (61'), Pratto (78'), Perrone (90+1'), Mulet (90+9')
Morales (75')
Cardozo (70')