Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
50.17% ( -0.05)	24.53% ( -0.02)	25.31% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5% (

0.12)

48.5% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37% (

0.11)

70.63% (

-0.11)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

0.02)

19.35% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

0.04)

51.14% (

-0.04)

Yunnan Yukun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

0.12)

33.52% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

0.14)

70.16% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 50.16%

Yunnan Yukun 25.31%

Draw 24.52%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.31%