Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yunnan Yukun would win this match.