Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3

Mar 28, 2025 at 12pm UK

Chengdu Longquanyi Football Stadium

Sichuan
3 - 4
Yunnan Yukun

Garcia (33', 47'), Li (84' og.)
Zhang (67'), Karzev (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Maritu (13', 24'), Ionita (51'), Kit Tsui (81')
Nene (69'), Li (88'), Ma (90+15')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Sichuan Jiuniu and Yunnan Yukun.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sichuan Jiuniu

All competitions

Last Game: Qingdao Hainiu 0-1 Sichuan
Saturday, March 1 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Yunnan Yukun

All competitions

Last Game: Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Zhejiang
Saturday, March 1 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yunnan Yukun would win this match.

Result
Sichuan Jiuniu	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
28.09% ( -0.13)	25.54% ( -0.08)	46.37% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.21% (

0.24)

50.79% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32% (

0.21)

72.68% (

-0.21)

Sichuan Jiuniu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

0.02)

32.52% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95% (

0.03)

69.05% (

-0.02)

Yunnan Yukun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

0.2)

21.9% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.3)

55.16% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu 28.09%

Yunnan Yukun 46.36%

Draw 25.54%

Sichuan Jiuniu	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
1-0 @ 8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.09%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.36%