World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 11am UK

Rizal Memorial Stadium

Philippines
0 - 5
Iraq

Curran (10'), Baas (52')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hussein (14' pen., 36'), Al-Ammari (30'), Iqbal (62'), Tahseen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Philippines and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Philippines win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
Philippines	Draw	Iraq
30.63% ( -0.02)	27.65% ( 0)	41.72% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.2% (

-0.01)

57.8% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.47% (

-0)

78.53% (

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

-0.02)

34.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.02)

71% (

0.02)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

27.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

0.01)

62.75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Philippines 30.63%

Iraq 41.71%

Draw 27.64%

Philippines	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.63%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.71%