World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 21, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mubarak International Stadium
  • Jesus Casas 69' yellowcard
  • Mohanad Ali 84' goal
  • yellowcard Oskari Kekkonen 68'
  • yellowcard Mike Ott 90'+2'

Iraq vs Philippines - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 12.00pm
Vietnam 0 - 1 Iraq

Philippines

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 11.00am
Philippines 1 - 1 Indonesia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.

Result

Iraq 59.71% (-0.01)
Draw 22.68% (-0.04)
Philippines 17.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.57% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.2% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 49.8% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 28.19% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 71.8% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 13.44% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 86.55% (-0.12)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 83.69% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 16.3% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 54.12% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 45.88% (-0.12)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5 58.03% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 41.97% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 21.59% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 78.4% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Iraq 59.71%
Draw 22.68%
Philippines 17.61%
Iraq
1-0 @ 12.41% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 11.25% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.91% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.68%
Philippines
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.68% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.61%