World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

Mubarak International Stadium

Iraq
1 - 0
Philippines

Ali (84')
Casas (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kekkonen (68'), Ott (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Philippines, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 2-3 Jordan
Monday, January 29 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Philippines

Last Game: Philippines 1-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Philippines
59.71% ( -0.01)	22.68% ( -0.03)	17.61% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2% (

0.19)

49.8% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

0.17)

71.8% (

-0.17)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69% (

0.07)

16.3% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.12% (

0.12)

45.88% (

-0.12)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

0.16)

41.97% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

0.14)

78.4% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Iraq 59.71%

Philippines 17.61%

Draw 22.68%

Iraq	Draw	Philippines
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 59.71%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.61%