World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 12pm UK

San vận dộng quốc gia Mỹ Dinh

Vietnam
0 - 1
Iraq

Anh Nguyen (48'), Vo Minh (54'), Van Lam (88'), Son Nguyen (89'), Bac Nguyen (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ali (90+7')
Ali (90+8')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Vietnam and Iraq.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vietnam

Last Game: Philippines 0-2 Vietnam
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iraq

Last Game: Iraq 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, November 16 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 46.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Vietnam	Draw	Iraq
46.94% ( 0.06)	28.84% ( -0.2)	24.22% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 40.79% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.38% (

0.68)

64.63% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.37% (

0.47)

83.63% (

-0.47)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

0.36)

27.8% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

0.46)

63.38% (

-0.45)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.49% (

0.54)

43.51% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28% (

0.45)

79.72% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Vietnam 46.94%

Iraq 24.21%

Draw 28.84%

Vietnam	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 15.48% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 46.94%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 1% Total : 24.21%