/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firqlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
-
Aymen Hussein
5'
-
Saad Natiq
15'
-
Aymen Hussein
45'+4'
-
Junya Ito
37'
-
Wataru Endo
90'+3'
Iraq vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F03%2Firaq.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Iraq win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result
Iraq
34.84%
▼
(-1.86)
Draw
24.12%
▲
(+0.22)
Japan
41.04%
▲
(+1.65)
Both Teams to Score:
60.68%
▼
(-1.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.24%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 2.5
41.76%
▲
(+1.31)
Over 3.5
35.84%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 3.5
64.16%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 4.5
18.9%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 4.5
81.1%
▲
(+1.02)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5
76.35%
▼
(-1.59)
Under 0.5
23.65%
▲
(+1.59)
Over 1.5
42.25%
▼
(-2.34)
Under 1.5
57.75%
▲
(+2.35)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
79.47%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
20.52%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
46.97%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
53.03%
▼
(-0.33)
Score analysis
Iraq
34.84%
Draw
24.12%
Japan
41.04%
Iraq
2-1
@
7.99%
▼
(-0.23)
1-0 @ 7% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.84%
1-0 @ 7% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.84%
Draw
1-1
@
11.08%
▲
(+0.22)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
Japan
1-2
@
8.78%
▲
(+0.22)
0-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.49)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.25)
1-4 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 41.04%
0-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.49)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.25)
1-4 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 41.04%