Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Education City Stadium

Iraq
2 - 1
Japan

Hussein (5', 45+4')
Natiq (15')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Endo (90+3')
Ito (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Indonesia 1-3 Iraq
Monday, January 15 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	1	2	3
2	Iraq	1	2	3
3	Vietnam	1	-2	0
4	Indonesia	1	-2	0

Japan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Japan 4-2 Vietnam
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	1	2	3
2	Iraq	1	2	3
3	Vietnam	1	-2	0
4	Indonesia	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Iraq win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Japan
34.84% ( -1.86)	24.12% ( 0.21)	41.04% ( 1.65)

Both teams to score 60.68% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.24% (

-1.3)

41.76% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.84% (

-1.33)

64.16% (

1.33)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-1.58)

23.65% (

1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

-2.34)

57.75% (

2.34)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.21)

20.52% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.33)

53.03% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Iraq 34.84%

Japan 41.04%

Draw 24.12%

Iraq	Draw	Japan
2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.84%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.88% Total : 41.04%