World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 10.02am UK

Nishigaoka National Stadium

Japan
5 - 0
Myanmar

Ueda (11', 45+4', 50'), Kamada (28'), Doan (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Aung Wai (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Myanmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Myanmar

Last Game: Macao 0-0 Myanmar
Tuesday, October 17 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 75.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 8.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Myanmar
75.33% ( 0.02)	16.09% ( -0.01)	8.58% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.36% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.67% (

0.02)

42.33% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26% (

0.02)

64.74% (

-0.01)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

0.01)

9.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.97% (

0.02)

32.03% (

-0.02)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95% (

52.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.96% (

86.04% (

Score Analysis

Japan 75.31%

Myanmar 8.58%

Draw 16.09%

Japan	Draw	Myanmar
2-0 @ 13.71% 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 75.31%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.09%	0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.58%