Friendlies 1

Jun 16, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Beijing National Stadium

China
4 - 0
Myanmar

Linpeng (29'), Liangming (35'), Lei (75', 81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between China and Myanmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

Last Game: New Zealand 2-1 China
Sunday, March 26 at 4am in International Friendlies

Myanmar

Last Game: Myanmar 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Saturday, March 25 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 65.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that China would win this match.

Result
China	Draw	Myanmar
65.36% ( -0.09)	20.31% ( 0.05)	14.33% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.72% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.21% (

-0.11)

45.79% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89% (

-0.1)

68.11% (

0.1)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8% (

-0.06)

13.2% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.07% (

-0.12)

39.93% (

0.12)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.13% (

-0)

43.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.99% (

-0)

80.01%

Score Analysis

China 65.35%

Myanmar 14.33%

Draw 20.31%

China	Draw	Myanmar
2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 65.35%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.31%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.33%