Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 65.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that China would win this match.