Friendlies 3
Jun 19, 2023 at 10am UK
Dalian University Stadium
Myanmar national football team

Macao
0 - 2
Myanmar

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Macao and Myanmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macao

Last Game: Macao 0-1 Singapore
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Myanmar

Last Game: China 4-0 Myanmar
Friday, June 16 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macao win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.

Result
MacaoDrawMyanmar
43.96% (12.895 12.9)22.46% (-1.052 -1.05)33.58% (-11.839 -11.84)
Both teams to score 66.55% (5.122 5.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (6.234 6.23)33.93% (-6.23 -6.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.22% (6.749 6.75)55.78% (-6.744 -6.74)
Macao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (8.993 8.99)16.1% (-8.987 -8.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (14.279 14.28)45.5% (-14.275 -14.28)
Myanmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-2.684 -2.68)20.68% (2.687 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (-4.415 -4.42)53.27% (4.42 4.42)
Score Analysis
    Macao 43.96%
    Myanmar 33.58%
    Draw 22.46%
MacaoDrawMyanmar
2-1 @ 8.75% (1.349 1.35)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.55% (1.237 1.24)
3-1 @ 5.33% (1.916 1.92)
3-2 @ 4.2% (1.272 1.27)
3-0 @ 3.38% (1.391 1.39)
4-1 @ 2.43% (1.254 1.25)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.905 0.91)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.855 0.86)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.429 0.43)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-1.117 -1.12)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.548 0.55)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-1.184 -1.18)
3-3 @ 2.21% (0.533 0.53)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-1.63 -1.63)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-2.495 -2.5)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-2.505 -2.51)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-1.283 -1.28)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-1.625 -1.63)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.688 -0.69)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.58%