/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fvielog.png)
-
Takumi Minamino
11'
-
Yukinari Sugawara
32'
-
Takumi Minamino
45'
-
Keito Nakamura
45'+4'
-
Ayase Ueda
85'
-
Dinh Bac Nguyen
16'
-
Tuan Hai Pham
33'
Japan vs Vietnam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
71.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
17.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Vietnam
11.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.83%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.51%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
39.49%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
38.17%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
61.83%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
20.69%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
79.31%
▲
(+0.12)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
90.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
9.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
67.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
32.5%
▲
(+0.08)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5
55.23%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
44.77%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
19.25%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
80.75%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Japan
71.48%
Draw
17.27%
Vietnam
11.25%
Japan
2-0
@
11.83%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 71.48%
1-0 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 71.48%
Draw
1-1
@
8.18%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 17.27%
0-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 17.27%
Vietnam
0-1
@
3.52%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 11.25%
1-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 11.25%