Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Syria had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Syria win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.