World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 21, 2023 2.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • goal Takefusa Kubo 32'
  • goal Ayase Ueda 37'
  • goal Ayase Ueda 40'
  • goal Yukinari Sugawara 47'
  • goal Mao Hosoya 82'

Syria vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Syria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 5.00pm
Syria 1 - 0 North Korea

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 10.02am
Japan 5 - 0 Myanmar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Syria had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Syria win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result

Syria 17.51% ▲ (+2.74)
Draw 23.08% ▲ (+1.26)
Japan 59.42% ▼ (-3.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22% ▲ (+2.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.48% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 51.52% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 26.68% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 73.32% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 12.44% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 87.56% ▲ (+0.23)

Syria Goals

Over 0.5 56.9% ▲ (+3.39)
Under 0.5 43.1% ▼ (-3.39)
Over 1.5 20.62% ▲ (+2.72)
Under 1.5 79.38% ▼ (-2.72)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 82.99% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 0.5 17.01% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 1.5 52.86% ▼ (-2.71)
Under 1.5 47.14% ▲ (+2.71)

Score analysis

Syria 17.51%
Draw 23.08%
Japan 59.41%
Syria
1-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.65)
2-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.66)
2-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-92.66)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% ▲ (+0.65)
0-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.08%
Japan
0-1 @ 12.98% ▼ (-0.46)
0-2 @ 11.5% ▼ (-1.02)
1-2 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.99)
1-3 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.25)
0-4 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.62)
1-4 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.13)
0-5 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.29)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 59.41%