Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Syria had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.