Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.