World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Syria
1 - 0
North Korea

Al Somah (37' pen.)
Al Midani (34'), Osman (72'), Mardikian (90+7'), Mardikian (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kuk-Bom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Syria and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Syria

Last Game: Syria 1-2 Kuwait
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

North Korea

Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 North Korea
Friday, July 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 4.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (13.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.

Result
Syria	Draw	North Korea
81.94% ( 0.05)	13.29% ( -0.03)	4.77% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 31.95% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

0.02)

45.07% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

0.02)

67.41% (

-0.02)

Syria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.37% (

0.02)

8.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.22% (

0.04)

29.78% (

-0.04)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.97% (

-0.07)

65.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.99% (

-0.03)

93.01% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Syria 81.93%

North Korea 4.77%

Draw 13.29%

Syria	Draw	North Korea
2-0 @ 16.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 13.75% 4-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.62% 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 81.93%	1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.29%	0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.08% Total : 4.77%