World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 16, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Omar Al Midani 34' yellowcard
  • Omar Al Somah 37' goal
  • Mohammed Osman 72' yellowcard
  • Mardik Mardikian 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Mardik Mardikian 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kim Kuk-Bom 76'

Syria vs North Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Syria

All competitions

North Korea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 4.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (13.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.

Result

Syria 81.94% (+0.05)
Draw 13.29% (-0.03)
North Korea 4.77% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.95% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.94% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.07% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 32.59% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.41% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.5% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.51% (-0.02)

Syria Goals

Over 0.5 91.37% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 8.64% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 70.22% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.78% (-0.05)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5 34.97% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 65.03% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 6.99% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 93.01% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Syria 81.93%
Draw 13.29%
North Korea 4.77%
Syria
2-0 @ 16.84% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 13.75%
3-0 @ 13.75% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 8.42% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.62%
5-1 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.29%
North Korea
0-1 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 4.77%