Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.