Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.