World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Qatar
8 - 1
Afghanistan

Al Heidos (11'), Ali (15', 26', 33' pen., 45+3' pen.), Mashaal (18'), Alaaeldin (53' pen.), Al-Abdullah (90+4')

FT(HT: 6-1)

Sharifi (13')
Azizi (32'), Ataee (65'), Samandari (68'), Hanifi (86')
Ataee (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Afghanistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: Qatar 0-4 Iran
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Afghanistan

Last Game: Mongolia 0-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Afghanistan
37.02% ( 2.76)	27.93% ( -0.65)	35.05% ( -2.11)

Both teams to score 47.98% (

1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99% (

2.41)

58.01% (

-2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3% (

1.86)

78.7% (

-1.86)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

30.11% (

-3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

3.45)

66.25% (

-3.46)

Afghanistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-0.12)

31.35% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-0.14)

67.71% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Qatar 37.01%

Afghanistan 35.04%

Draw 27.93%

Qatar	Draw	Afghanistan
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( -1.09) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.04%