Friendlies 3

Dec 28, 2023 at 12pm UK

Saida International Stadium

Lebanon
2 - 1
Jordan

Haidar (24'), Mansour (90' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Al Dardoor (3')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Lebanon and Jordan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Lebanon
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.45am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Jordan

Last Game: Jordan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	Jordan
42.24% ( -0.12)	27.85% ( 0.02)	29.91% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 46.91% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.26% (

-0.05)

58.74% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.73% (

-0.04)

79.26% (

0.04)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53% (

-0.09)

27.46% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04% (

-0.12)

62.95% (

0.12)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

0.05)

35.33% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.05)

72.09% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lebanon 42.23%

Jordan 29.9%

Draw 27.84%

Lebanon	Draw	Jordan
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.23%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.9%