International Friendlies
Dec 28, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Saida International Stadium
  • Mohamad Haidar 24' goal
  • Nour Mansour 90' goal
  • goal Hamza Al Dardoor 3'

Lebanon vs Jordan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 7.00pm
Lebanon 0 - 2 Oman

Jordan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 3.30pm
Iraq 2 - 2 Jordan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result

Lebanon 42.24% (-0.13)
Draw 27.85% (+0.03)
Jordan 29.91% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.91% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.26% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 58.74% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 20.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.26% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 8.76% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 91.24% (+0.03)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 27.46% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 37.04% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 62.95% (+0.12)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5 64.67% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.33% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 27.91% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 72.09% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Lebanon 42.23%
Draw 27.84%
Jordan 29.9%
Lebanon
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.7% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.84%
Jordan
0-1 @ 10.09% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.25% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 29.9%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2021 1.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moussa Al Tamari 50' goal
  • yellowcard Ihab Darwiche 88'
International Friendlies
Sep 6, 2018 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Obaida Al-Samarneh 93' redcard
  • goal Omar Bugiel 77'