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World Cup

Bangladesh national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 11.45am UK
Comilla Stadium (Comilla)
Lebanon national football team

Bangladesh
1 - 1
Lebanon

Morsalin (72')
Hossain (47'), Morsalin (73'), Rana (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osman (67')
Ayoub (70')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Bangladesh and Lebanon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangladesh

Last Game: Australia 7-0 Bangladesh
Thursday, November 16 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Lebanon

Last Game: Lebanon 0-0 Palestine
Thursday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 41%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
BangladeshDrawLebanon
41% (0.0020000000000024 0)28.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)30.86% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.51% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)59.48% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)79.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Bangladesh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (-0.012 -0.01)64.28% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)35.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)71.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bangladesh 40.99%
    Lebanon 30.85%
    Draw 28.14%
BangladeshDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.99%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 30.85%