International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sheikh Zayed Sports City
  • Caio 26' goal
  • Yahya Alghassani 38' yellowcard
  • Caio 67' yellowcard
  • Khalifa Alhammadi 72' yellowcard
  • Sultan Adill Alamiri 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Karim Darwiche 30'
  • goal Karim Darwiche 34'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Al Hayek 56'
  • yellowcard Jihad Ayoub 77'

United Arab Emirates vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
UAE 1 - 0 Kuwait

Lebanon

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
Montenegro 3 - 2 Lebanon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result

United Arab Emirates 40.63% (+0.19)
Draw 27.2% (-0.28)
Lebanon 32.17% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% (+0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.3% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 55.7% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 23.16% (+0.85)
Under 3.5 76.84% (-0.85)
Over 4.5 10.21% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 89.79% (-0.52)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5 73.09% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 26.91% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 37.76% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 62.24% (-0.78)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 67.9% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 32.1% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 31.43% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 68.57% (-0.68)

Score analysis

United Arab Emirates 40.62%
Draw 27.2%
Lebanon 32.17%
United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.27)
2-1 @ 8.46% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.7% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.26% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.21% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.2%
Lebanon
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Dec 30, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT TBC
  • Sebastian Tagliabue 79' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 16, 2021 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Khalid Essa 43'
  • yellowcard Tahnoon Alzaabi 80'
  • goal Ali Mabkhout 85'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tagliabue 90'+5'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Sep 2, 2021 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Felix Michel Melki 49'
  • yellowcard Bassel Jradi 60'
  • yellowcard Rabih Ataya 80'