Friendlies 2

Oct 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

Sheikh Zayed Sports City

UAE
2 - 1
Lebanon

Caio (26'), Adill Alamiri (90+4')
Alghassani (38'), Caio (67'), Alhammadi (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Darwiche (34')
Darwiche (30'), Al Hayek (56'), Ayoub (77')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between United Arab Emirates and Lebanon.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 1-0 Kuwait
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Lebanon

Last Game: Montenegro 3-2 Lebanon
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Lebanon
40.63% ( 0.19)	27.2% ( -0.27)	32.17% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.3% (

1.05)

55.7% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16% (

0.85)

76.84% (

-0.85)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

0.59)

26.91% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76% (

0.77)

62.24% (

-0.77)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

0.6)

32.1% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

0.68)

68.57% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 40.62%

Lebanon 32.17%

Draw 27.2%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.17%