Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 75.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 9.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-2 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.