Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Maldives had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Maldives win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.