World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 12.45pm UK

Comilla Stadium (Comilla)

Bangladesh
2 - 1
Maldives

(Bangladesh win 3-2 on aggregate)

Hossain (11'), Ahmed Fahim (46')
S (18'), S (43'), Hossain (60'), Ahmed Fahim (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aisham (36')
Numan (71')
Rasheed (90+4')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Bangladesh and Maldives.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangladesh

Last Game: Maldives 1-1 Bangladesh
Thursday, October 12 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Maldives

Last Game: Maldives 1-1 Bangladesh
Thursday, October 12 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangladesh would win this match.

Result
Bangladesh	Draw	Maldives
64.81% ( -0.65)	21.15% ( 0.23)	14.04% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.1)

49.85% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-0.09)

71.85% (

0.09)

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35% (

-0.24)

14.65% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.21% (

-0.45)

42.79% (

0.45)

Maldives Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.21% (

0.57)

46.79% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.67% (

0.43)

82.32% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Bangladesh 64.8%

Maldives 14.04%

Draw 21.15%

Bangladesh	Draw	Maldives
1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 64.8%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.15%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.17% Total : 14.04%