/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Findlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firqlog.png)
-
Elkan Baggott
2'
-
Marselino Ferdinan
37'
-
Marc Klok
90'+5'
-
Mohanad Ali
17'
-
Osama Rashid
45'+7'
-
Aymen Hussein
75'
Indonesia vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
Result
Indonesia
26.97%
▲
(+1.54)
Draw
26.93%
▲
(+0.87)
Iraq
46.1%
▼
(-2.40)
Both Teams to Score:
47.79%
▼
(-1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.22%
▼
(-2.23)
Under 2.5
56.78%
▲
(+2.23)
Over 3.5
22.28%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 3.5
77.72%
▲
(+1.83)
Over 4.5
9.68%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 4.5
90.32%
▲
(+1.12)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5
63.39%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
36.61%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
26.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
73.4%
▼
(-0.09)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5
75.4%
▼
(-2.08)
Under 0.5
24.6%
▲
(+2.09)
Over 1.5
40.9%
▼
(-3.01)
Under 1.5
59.1%
▲
(+3.01)
Score analysis
Indonesia
26.97%
Draw
26.93%
Iraq
46.1%
Indonesia
1-0
@
9.05%
▲
(+0.77)
2-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.97%
2-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.97%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
▲
(+0.34)
0-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.75)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.93%
0-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.75)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.93%
Iraq
0-1
@
12.63%
▲
(+0.32)
1-2 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.42)
0-3 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.43)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.21)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.25)
0-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.1%
1-2 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.42)
0-3 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.43)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.21)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.25)
0-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.1%