Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.