International Friendlies
Jan 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium
  • Justin Hubner 65' yellowcard
  • goal Saman Ghoddos 3'
  • goal Roozbeh Cheshmi 24'
  • goal Shahriar Moghanlou 40'
  • goal Mehdi Ghaedi 72'
  • goal Mehdi Ghaedi 88'

Indonesia vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 5, 2024 1.00pm
Indonesia 1 - 2 Libya

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 5, 2024 2.30pm
Iran 2 - 1 Burkina Faso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result

Indonesia 25.58% (-0.22)
Draw 24.59% (+0.01)
Iran 49.83% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.46% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 48.54% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 29.33% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 70.66% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 14.21% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 85.79% (+0.13)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5 66.68% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 33.31% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 30.06% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 69.93% (+0.32)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 80.5% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.5% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.38% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Indonesia 25.58%
Draw 24.58%
Iran 49.83%
Indonesia
1-0 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.93% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 25.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.58%
Iran
0-1 @ 10.62% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.68% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.73% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.83%