World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Milliy Stadion

Uzbekistan
2 - 2
Iran

Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Uzbekistan and Iran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

Last Game: Turkmenistan 1-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iran

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 4-0 Hong Kong
Thursday, November 16 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Iran had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Iran
38.45% ( 2.77)	29.04% ( -0.01)	32.51% ( -2.76)

Both teams to score 44.46% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82% (

-0.2)

62.18% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13% (

-0.14)

81.87% (

0.14)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

1.65)

31.32% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

1.87)

67.69% (

-1.88)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74% (

-2.01)

35.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

-2.15)

72.01% (

2.15)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 38.44%

Iran 32.51%

Draw 29.03%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.44%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.03%	0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.51%