World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 16, 2023 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Asgabat Stadiony
  • Meylis Durdyyev 44' goal
  • Abdy Bashimov 66' yellowcard
  • Shanazar Tirkishov 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Odiljon Khamrobekov 34'
  • goal Otabek Shukurov 57'
  • goal Otabek Shukurov 77'
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 90'+1'

Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkmenistan

All competitions

Uzbekistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 83.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.06%) and 0-1 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Uzbekistan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uzbekistan.

Result

Turkmenistan 4.23%
Draw 11.79%
Uzbekistan 83.98% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.07% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.75%
Over 3.5 36.86% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 63.14% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.67%
Under 4.5 80.33% (+0.01)

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5 35.64% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 64.36%
Over 1.5 7.28%
Under 1.5 92.72% (+0.01)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 92.79% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.21%
Over 1.5 73.83% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.17%

Score analysis

Turkmenistan 4.23%
Draw 11.79%
Uzbekistan 83.97%
Turkmenistan
1-0 @ 2.04%
2-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1%
Total : 4.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 4.64%
2-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 11.79%
Uzbekistan
0-2 @ 16.04%
0-3 @ 14.06%
0-1 @ 12.2%
0-4 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 7.07% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 4.86%
1-4 @ 4.08%
1-5 @ 2.14%
0-6 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 83.97%