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Turkmenistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony
Uzbekistan national football team

Turkmenistan
1 - 3
Uzbekistan

Durdyyev (44')
Bashimov (66'), Tirkishov (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shukurov (57', 77'), Shomurodov (90+1')
Khamrobekov (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Bahrain 1-1 Turkmenistan
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Uzbekistan

Last Game: China 1-2 Uzbekistan
Monday, October 16 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 83.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.06%) and 0-1 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Uzbekistan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uzbekistan.

Result
TurkmenistanDrawUzbekistan
4.23%11.79%83.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 33.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)40.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.14% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.28%92.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)7.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.17%
Score Analysis
    Turkmenistan 4.23%
    Uzbekistan 83.97%
    Draw 11.79%
TurkmenistanDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 2.04%
2-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1%
Total : 4.23%
1-1 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 4.64%
2-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 11.79%
0-2 @ 16.04%
0-3 @ 14.06%
0-1 @ 12.2%
0-4 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-5 @ 4.86%
1-4 @ 4.08%
1-5 @ 2.14%
0-6 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-6 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 83.97%

How you voted: Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Turkmenistan
42.9%
Draw
7.1%
Uzbekistan
50.0%
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