/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firnlog.png)
-
Sardar Azmoun
12'
-
Sardar Azmoun
15'
-
Shoja Khalilzadeh
82'
-
Mehdi Taremi
87'
-
Ramin Rezaeian
90'+2'
-
Tze Nam Yue
17'
-
Lam Hin Ting
38'
Iran vs Hong Kong - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result
Iran
71.49%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
17.74%
▲
(+0.09)
Hong Kong
10.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
46.42%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.92%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
43.07%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
34.52%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
65.47%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 4.5
17.91%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
82.09%
▲
(+0.18)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5
89.27%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
10.72%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
65.32%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
34.67%
▲
(+0.23)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5
52%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
47.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
16.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
83.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Iran
71.48%
Draw
17.74%
Hong Kong
10.77%
Iran
2-0
@
12.82%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.49% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 71.48%
1-0 @ 11.49% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 71.48%
Draw
1-1
@
8.44%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 17.74%
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 17.74%
Hong Kong
0-1
@
3.78%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.77%
1-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.77%