Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.