World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 1pm UK

Changlimithang National Stadium

Bhutan
2 - 0
Hong Kong

(Hong Kong win 4-2 on aggregate)

Gyeltshen (28'), Chogyal (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chun Lok (32'), Awal (65'), Awal (65+65'), Ming Wu (79')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Bhutan and Hong Kong.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bhutan

Last Game: Hong Kong 4-0 Bhutan
Thursday, October 12 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Bhutan win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bhutan	Draw	Hong Kong
19.45% ( 0.93)	21.31% ( 1.44)	59.23% ( -2.39)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-3.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

-5.33)

41.07% (

5.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

-5.64)

63.47% (

5.64)

Bhutan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-2.18)

34.77% (

2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-2.37)

71.5% (

2.37)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46% (

-2.34)

13.54% (

2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.39% (

-4.87)

40.61% (

4.86)

Score Analysis

Bhutan 19.45%

Hong Kong 59.23%

Draw 21.31%

Bhutan	Draw	Hong Kong
2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.45%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.98) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 1.05) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1.42) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.66) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.53) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.51) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.6) 0-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.44) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.39) 0-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.23%