World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2023 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Hong Kong Stadium (Hong Kong)
  • Michael Udebuluzor 10' goal
  • Michael Udebuluzor 16' goal
  • Shinichi Chan 28' goal
  • Tenzin Norbu 35' goal
  • yellowcard Sherub Dorji 72'

Hong Kong vs Bhutan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions

Bhutan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.

Result

Hong Kong 57.57% (+12.49)
Draw 22.67% (-4.68)
Bhutan 19.76% (-7.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38% (+5.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.34% (+11.31)
Under 2.5 46.66% (-11.30)
Over 3.5 31.07% (+9.74)
Under 3.5 68.93% (-9.73)
Over 4.5 15.42% (+6.30)
Under 4.5 84.58% (-6.30)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 84.06% (+9.69)
Under 0.5 15.94% (-9.69)
Over 1.5 54.79% (+15.31)
Under 1.5 45.21% (-15.31)

Bhutan Goals

Over 0.5 62.31% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 37.69% (+0.94)
Over 1.5 25.54% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 74.47% (+0.93)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 57.55%
Draw 22.67%
Bhutan 19.76%
Hong Kong
1-0 @ 11.03% (-1.80)
2-0 @ 10.12% (+1.39)
2-1 @ 9.88% (+1.15)
3-0 @ 6.2% (+2.24)
3-1 @ 6.05% (+2.09)
3-2 @ 2.95% (+0.97)
4-0 @ 2.85% (+1.50)
4-1 @ 2.78% (+1.43)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-66.25)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-35.66)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-35.78)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 57.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (-2.08)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-3.42)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.46)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 22.67%
Bhutan
0-1 @ 5.86% (-3.57)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-1.18)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-1.86)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.44)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 19.76%