Friendlies 3
Sep 6, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Macau Olympic Complex Stadium
Bhutan national football team

Macao
0 - 1
Bhutan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Namgyel (45')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Macao and Bhutan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macao

Last Game: Macao 0-2 Myanmar
Monday, June 19 at 10am in International Friendlies

Bhutan

Last Game: Nepal 1-1 Bhutan
Tuesday, March 28 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bhutan win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Macao had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bhutan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Macao win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bhutan in this match.

Result
MacaoDrawBhutan
28.51% (-0.116 -0.12)25.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.39% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)48.68% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)70.79% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Macao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.134 -0.13)31.1% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.156 -0.16)67.43% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Bhutan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (0.013000000000005 0.01)53.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Macao 28.51%
    Bhutan 46.39%
    Draw 25.09%
MacaoDrawBhutan
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.51%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.39%

rhs 2.0


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