Uzbekistan national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 8, 2020 at 2pm UK
Milliy Stadion
Iran national football team

Uzbekistan
1 - 2
Iran

Shomurodov (53')
Tukhtakhujaev (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Azmoun (44'), Taremi (51' pen.)
(86')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Uzbekistan and Iran.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawIran
35.39%27.5%37.11%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64%56.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62%77.38%
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7%30.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52%66.48%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8%65.19%
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 35.38%
    Iran 37.11%
    Draw 27.49%
UzbekistanDrawIran
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.11%