Iraq national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium
South Korea national football team

Iraq
0 - 1
South Korea


Al-Hajjaj (86'), Tahseen (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jae-sung (40')
Kang-in (86')
Kang-in (86')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Iraq and South Korea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vietnam 0-1 Iraq
Tuesday, November 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: China 0-3 South Korea
Tuesday, November 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
IraqDrawSouth Korea
30.43% (-0.162 -0.16)27.47% (0.222 0.22)42.11% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.866 -0.87)57.18% (0.869 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.695 -0.7)78.04% (0.7 0.7)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)34.12% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.621 -0.62)70.8% (0.625 0.63)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)26.81% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)62.1% (0.574 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 30.43%
    South Korea 42.11%
    Draw 27.46%
IraqDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.171 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.43%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.11%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Iraq
0-3
South Korea

Adnan (70')
Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')
Sep 2, 2021 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
0-0
Iraq
Son (39')
Abdul Zahra (78'), Al-Ammari (81'), Ibrahim Khalaf (90')
Jul 7, 2013 4pm
Quarter-finals
Iraq
3-3
South Korea
Iraq win 5-4 on penalties