World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 12pm UK

Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

China
0 - 3
South Korea

Jiang (45+2'), Lei (67'), Yennaris (85'), Zhu (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Heung-min (11' pen., 45'), Jung (87')
Yong-woo (74')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between China and South Korea.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

Last Game: Thailand 1-2 China
Thursday, November 16 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Korea 5-0 Singapore
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for China had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
China	Draw	South Korea
17.43% ( 0.64)	21.93% ( 0.2)	60.64% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

0.23)

47% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

0.22)

69.24% (

-0.22)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48% (

0.92)

40.52% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

0.82)

77.13% (

-0.82)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.96% (

-0.19)

15.04% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.47% (

-0.37)

43.53% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

China 17.43%

South Korea 60.63%

Draw 21.92%

China	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.43%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.93% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.63%