World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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Shenglong Jiang
45'+2'
-
Wu Lei
67'
-
Nico Yennaris
85'
-
Chenjie Zhu
86'
-
Son Heung-min
11'
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Son Heung-min
45'
-
Park Yong-woo
74'
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Seung-Hyun Jung
87'
China vs South Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for China had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
Result
China
17.43%
▲
(+0.65)
Draw
21.93%
▲
(+0.20)
South Korea
60.64%
▼
(-0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
50.53%
▲
(+0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
53%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
47%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
30.76%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
69.24%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
15.2%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
84.8%
▼
(-0.16)
China Goals
Over 0.5
59.48%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
40.52%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 1.5
22.87%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 1.5
77.13%
▼
(-0.83)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5
84.96%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
15.04%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
56.47%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
43.53%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
China
17.43%
Draw
21.92%
South Korea
60.63%
China
1-0
@
5.51%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.43%
2-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.42%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.92%
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.92%
South Korea
0-1
@
11.54%
▼
(-0.20)
0-2 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.26)
1-2 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.63%
0-2 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.26)
1-2 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.63%