World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Chonburi Stadium (Chonburi)

Thailand
1 - 2
China

Yooyen (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lei (29'), Wang (74')
Linpeng (19'), Wang (64'), Xi (71'), Dalei (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Thailand and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

Last Game: Estonia 1-1 Thailand
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

China

Last Game: China 1-2 Uzbekistan
Monday, October 16 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for China had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for China in this match.

Result
Thailand	Draw	China
54.87% ( -0.01)	23.27% ( 0)	21.86% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.62% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.44% (

-0.01)

46.56% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

-0.01)

68.83% (

0.01)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.01)

16.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16% (

-0.01)

46.84% (

0.01)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48%

35.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71%

72.29%

Score Analysis

Thailand 54.87%

China 21.86%

Draw 23.27%

Thailand	Draw	China
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.49% 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.87%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.86%