Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Round of 16

Jan 29, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium

Iraq
2 - 3
Jordan

Natiq (68'), Hussein (76')
Hussein (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Al-Naimat (45+1'), Al-Arab (90+5'), Al-Rashdan (90+7')
Naseeb (14'), Al-Naimat (80'), Al-Rashdan (90+8')
Al Dardoor (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Jordan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Iraq 3-2 Vietnam
Wednesday, January 24 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Jordan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Jordan 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Jordan
47.65% ( -0.32)	25.38% ( -0.06)	26.96% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

0.52)

50.81% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.46)

72.7% (

-0.46)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.07)

21.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

0.11)

54.3% (

-0.12)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

0.59)

33.41% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

0.64)

70.03% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Iraq 47.65%

Jordan 26.96%

Draw 25.38%

Iraq	Draw	Jordan
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.96%