Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.