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Asian Cup

South Korea national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Bahrain national football team

South Korea
3 - 1
Bahrain

In-beom (38'), Kang-in (56', 68')
Yong-woo (9'), Min-jae (13'), Ki-je (28'), Kyu-Sung (61'), Heung-min (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Hashash (51')
Madan (31'), Atede (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between South Korea and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
Last Game: Iraq 0-1 South Korea
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Bahrain

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-3 Angola
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawBahrain
60.13% (0.055999999999997 0.06)23.15% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)16.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.111 0.11)52.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.093999999999998 0.09)74.58% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.061000000000007 0.06)17.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (0.105 0.1)47.62% (-0.102 -0.1)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)44.97% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (0.035999999999998 0.04)80.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 60.12%
    Bahrain 16.71%
    Draw 23.15%
South KoreaDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 13.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.01% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 16.71%

How you voted: South Korea vs Bahrain

South Korea
89.2%
Draw
4.8%
Bahrain
6.0%
83