Asian Cup
Jan 15, 2024 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
  • Park Yong-woo 9' yellowcard
  • Kim Min-jae 13' yellowcard
  • Lee Ki-je 28' yellowcard
  • Hwang In-beom 38' goal
  • Lee Kang-in 56' goal
  • Cho Kyu-Sung 61' yellowcard
  • Lee Kang-in 68' goal
  • Son Heung-min 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ali Madan 31'
  • yellowcard Moses Atede 45'
  • goal Abdullah Al-Hashash 51'

South Korea vs Bahrain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

Bahrain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result

South Korea 60.13% (+0.06)
Draw 23.15% (-0.04)
Bahrain 16.71% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.52% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.01% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 52.99% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.41% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 74.58% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 11.62% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88.38% (-0.07)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 82.72% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 17.28% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 52.38% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 47.62% (-0.11)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5 55.03% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 44.97% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 19.09% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.91% (-0.04)

Score analysis

South Korea 60.12%
Draw 23.15%
Bahrain 16.71%
South Korea
1-0 @ 13.64% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 11.97% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.01% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 60.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.15%
Bahrain
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 16.71%