Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.