Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Iraq
3 - 2
Vietnam

Sulaka (47'), Hussein (73', 90+12' pen.)
Madjed (51')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tahseen (17' og.), Anh Bui Hoang (42'), Hai Nguyen (90+1')
Khang Khuat (6'), Son Nguyen (45+4'), Anh Bui Hoang (82')
Khang Khuat (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Iraq 2-1 Japan
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	2	3	6
2	Japan	2	1	3
3	Indonesia	2	-1	3
4	Vietnam	2	-3	0

Vietnam

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Vietnam 0-1 Indonesia
Friday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	2	3	6
2	Japan	2	1	3
3	Indonesia	2	-1	3
4	Vietnam	2	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Vietnam win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Vietnam
60.32% ( -0.06)	20.67% ( -0.03)	19% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 57.83% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.19% (

0.3)

38.8% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.88% (

0.32)

61.11% (

-0.32)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

0.08)

12.49% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.52% (

0.16)

38.48% (

-0.16)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

0.27)

33.91% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.3)

70.58% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Iraq 60.32%

Vietnam 19%

Draw 20.67%

Iraq	Draw	Vietnam
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.32%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.67%	1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 19%