Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
46.97% ( 0.53)	24.64% ( -0.05)	28.39% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22% (

-0.08)

46.78% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96% (

-0.08)

69.04% (

0.08)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

0.19)

19.99% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

0.3)

52.18% (

-0.3)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

-0.39)

30.21% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.63% (

-0.46)

66.37% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 46.97%

Gornik Zabrze 28.39%

Draw 24.63%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.97%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 28.39%